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Contemporary issues related to human development , regional and global.

Kerala Assembly by-elections-May 2018

 

 

True, it was a big victory for the Left Democratic Front  (LDF) but, neither a political nor comprehensive victory as commented on by Gowridasan Nair, senior correspondent of the Hindu. There was massive grassroots level mobilization by the rank and file of CPI(M), the senior partner of LDF: As a result voter turnout increased to 76.3 percent, an increase of more than 2.5 percent, compared to the previous election of 2016.

 

Even though voter-turnout had increased, BJP votes declined by 18% to around 35,000 votes: Its votes share also experienced a sharp decline. UDF votes increased by 2000, registering a marginal decline in its vote- share. Last time LDF had won with a vote-percentage of 38.3: This has now increased to 44.3 %, giving it a stunning majority.

 

One may even theorize that UDF did not lose much and it was LDF that gained out of BJP losses, as part of an all-India trend: The massive grassroots level mobilization by the rank and file of CPM has made the best out of this BJP downfall at the national level, with very little initiatives and involvement of its leaders. Christian youth in several localities turned thick friends with their CPI(M) neighbors in large numbers, a simple reversal of the trends that had set-in during the liberation struggle days, six decades ago.

 

Malayala Manorama, the leading newspaper of the elite classes of Kerala, has theorized in its editorial that the stand taken by Chief Minister Pinarayi Vijayan against the so called Nokku Kooli practiced by CITU have won plenty of votes for LDF. However, the paper was silent on his achievements under the Nava Kerala Mission which had no or little impact whatsoever on the election process.

 

 

Improvements in the delivery of primary healthcare and school education, thanks to the involvement of elected panchayats, especially those governed by LDF were greatly appreciated by voters. However, the numerous projects initiated under the Navakerala Mission, directly administered or supervised by the Chief Ministers Office have failed so far to make any impact or catch the imagination of the voters despite massive propaganda.

 

Complaints about the non-performance or poor performance of Local Self Government Institutions (LSGIs) like panchayats, municipalities, and corporations are too many:  Attempts to improve their capability has not delivered results, due to constraints of funds and expertise. These basic constraints as well as indifferent performance of PSUs in infrastructure sector such as KSEBL, KSRTC, KWA, S&T institutions etc were not even debated during this election for obvious reasons: LDF and UDF were responsible for these lapses, and BJP had very little exposure to them.

 

Law and order continued to be a subject of endless debate even during this election and nobody was interested to debate on the much needed administrative reforms; not even the Administrative Reforms Commission.

 

EOD/02-06-2018

SOCIALIST GLOBALIZATION AND UNITED NATIONS

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COOPERATIVE FEDERALISM AND CENTER-STATE RELATIONS

COOPERATIVE FEDERALISM  AND CENTER-STATE RELATIONS

By Engr K Vijayachandran F.I.E

The Left had looked at India as a multinational country: A federal Government at the Center, decentralized administration and real autonomy for state governments were the core part of their political ideology. But they have been compromising on this fundamental after the collapse of USSR and, ever since the economic and structural reforms got initiated in the country, in early nineties (1).

 

Pandit Deen Dayal Upadhyaya and his philosophy of Integral Humanism (ekaatma maanava darsanam) had visualized for India ‘a decentralized polity and self-reliant economy with the village as the base’: A concept which, according to him ‘was deeply embedded in the Indian Psyche.’ This was very close to the Gandhian view: Both had rejected capitalist globalization on moral grounds but did not have a chance to look at the possibility of socialist a globalization as Einstein did, and using the framework of United Nations, founded on the principles of peaceful coexistence of diverse cultures, an altogether new historical experience. (2)

 

BJP had, in the past, mostly stuck to the one-nation theory of RSS and like Congress had looked at a Strong Central Government as the panacea for the under-development at national level. However, elections for the sixteenth Loksabha were a watershed in BJP policies: Its election manifesto had explicitly accepted the need to revamp Central-State relations. And the views of Modi Government on the re-defining of Central-State relations were reflected in the Presidential speech of Pranab Mukherjee; he had commented, “India is a federal polity. But, over the years, the federal spirit has been diluted.”

 

In order to correct this distortion from the past, the President had promised to “re-invigorate fora like the National Development Council and the Inter-State Council” and introduced a novel concept of Cooperative Federalism, possibly intended to deepen the economic relationship between State and Central Governments. However, he did not elaborate on how the concept will translate itself into reality and help to rectify the distortions.

 

Our constitution makers had looked at the development and upkeep of basic infrastructure, physical as well as social, including language and culture, as the joint responsibility of Central and State Governments. For a newly liberated multinational country of continental proportions federal type governance was no doubt, most appealing as well as practical.

 

However, role of state level and lower level governments, as well as those of Inter-State Council, National Development Council, Planning Commission and other policy making institutions at the national level, built up during the early years of national independence, as well as that of even Loksabha and Rajyasabha, were drastically eroded in more recent years, thanks to the highly authoritarian economic reforms. It appears the trend continues even under the new regime of the new Prime Minister.

 

Central Government, along with its elaborate Committee of Ministers and PMO, had virtually taken over the sole responsibility for infrastructure development, with the help of foreign and Indian monopoly capital, leading to numerous scams of national shame. Even the Planning Commission was charged of breeding crony capitalism. And, despite massive doses of privatization and foreign direct investments and experimenting with PPP concepts, Indian reforms have so far failed to deliver positive results from a patriotic perspective.

 

Experience of India’s Power sector, where structural reforms had an early start, is typical: Indiscriminate import of equipment and systems are causing costly breakdowns in our national and regional grids. Reforms have inflated capital costs and further increased the financial losses of State Electricity Utilities. They have turned totally dysfunctional: Uninterrupted quality power, at lowest possible costs to the consumer, is not their motto anymore.

 

Electricity generation using imported fuel is on steady increase, while our own fossil fuel reserves remain under-utilized. Role and functions of Central Electricity Authority (CEA), the federal organization that was in charge of power sector as per the 1948 Electricity Act, was virtually taken over by Power Ministry and re-assigned to international consultants in the pay role of global capital and MNC monopolies. (3)

A World Bank study of June 2014 has admitted the near-total failure of power sector reforms of early nineties and the new electricity act, in meeting their own declared objectives: Debts of electricity utilities have ballooned to Rs. 3.5 Trillion or five percent of GDP by 2011, the target of full electrification by 2011 was miserably missed with some 300 million households remaining non-electrified, and the objective of an integrated all India power grid remains a pipe-dream, despite massive investments in T&D gear (4). Solution lies in reversing the reforms initiated in the early nineties for force-opening up of the national market for electricity as well as power equipment. Federal character of the power sector needs to be urgently restored in national interests.

 

In the telecom sector, the two legged policy of having state-wise circles and centralized technology development by Central Public Sector Units was given up, in order to force open the national telecoms market. Net result is abject dependence on imports in the telecoms sector, not only for hardware and software needed for modern communication systems but even their maintenance. The only silver lines in our communication system are the great achievements in space communication technologies developed by ISRO.

 

Reforms had struck the telecoms sector, when ICT revolution based on microchips and Internet technologies started its sweep. Instead of mobilizing the technology resources of central and state public sector organizations as well as academic and R&D institutions, market oriented solutions like state-wise auctioning of spectrum rights was resorted to by the Center, leading to massive scams and corruption. It is time to restructure India’s telecoms sector on a federal basis with an expanded role assigned to central and state public enterprises. Will this fit in with the concept of Cooperative Federalism of Modi Government?

 

Indian Railways is, possibly, most suited for exploring and enriching the idea of co-operative federalism, suggested in the Presidential speech: IR is a leviathan, an insensitive bureaucratic organization presided over by a cabinet minister, supported by one or two ministers of state, and then the Railway Board, its Chairman and half a dozen board members etc etc, and all connected up in series and in parallel.

 

 

There are fifteen zonal railways, each administered by a General Manger, who looks after the construction and operation of rail lines and related systems of the zone. The nature and number of complaints with regard to their performance indicate that they will perform far far better, if IR is organized state-wise, as in the case of P&T, BSNL, DD, CEA and the good old Electricity Boards, and several other central government functions (5).

 

It will be even better, if these state-wise zonal organizations are converted into public sector undertakings, with equal shareholding by IR on behalf of Central Government and then the other half by the concerned State Governments, as in the case of Delhi or Chennai Metro. A full fledged rail minister and a skeletal rail department or even a rail board in every state, for servicing and supporting this joint enterprise will greatly enhance the policy planning and management capabilities in the country with regard to rail development.

 

This sort of structural reforms will bring the administration and management of our on-rail resources closer to the people, and their elected Governments at the state as well as lower levels. Rail penetration continues to be very low in our country and hardly two percent of the 598,110 census villages and towns are connected to the rails: there were only very few additions after national independence. (6)

 

Food Corporation of India (FCI) owned and operated by the Central Government is best reorganized and operated as a federal entity. The State Warehousing Corporations could also be reorganized under a federal umbrella, brought closer to the users and managed more effectively. There is an urgent need to improve the performance of these public sector undertakings and it is best done by reorganizing them on a federal basis. There is an urgent need for a federal set up for promoting modernization of agriculture: The Indian Council for Agricultural Research (ICAR) intended to support agriculture development and food security programs in the country will perform better with the support of their state level counterparts. (7)

 

Water tight division of responsibilities between Central and State governments and the three lists annexed to Indian constitution, viz Central, State and Concurrent are a colonial legacy, inherited from imperialists. An earlier article of mine ‘Third Front and RE-Envisioning of Indian Unity’  ( 8) had examined the several areas, where economic relationship between Central and State Governments could be deepened within the existing constitutional framework, by taking the route of cooperative federalism.

 

Cochin International Airport Ltd (CIAL) virtually owned and managed by GOK, erroneously quoted as an ideal PPP model, is a splendid example for the potential of Co-operative Federalism. Air Kerala the dream project of State Government and a project of great relevance to the regional economy could take off instantly, provided it is promoted as a subsidiary of Air India. And the much talked about Palghat Rail Coach Factory will roll out immediately, if it is re-envisioned as a JV of Kerala Government and the Indian Railways.

 

Like the Indian Railways, there are several CPSEs and Central Government organizations which have distinguished themselves as technology generators for the country, who could join hands with state governments in industrial development. I had the good fortune of brokering a deal in 1987, between GOK and ISRO: The Kerala High-Tech Ltd (Kel-Tech), promoted with Dr, Kasturirangan as Chairman, is today a proud partner in BrahMos Aerospace, an Indo-Russian Joint Venture (www.brahmos.com).

 

 

The CSIR, ICMR, ICAR and other all India institutions were formed on the basis of the British model, which had nothing to do with the Indian reality. The same could be said about all India institutions in the social sciences as well as art and literature. These organizations could have performed far better if they were organized on a federal principle with their autonomous State-level counterparts functioning under the patronage of State Governments. Instead, we see that individual institutions or even head offices of central agencies are farmed out to different states on some consideration or other but mainly for appeasing public opinion in different states. (1).

 

State level offices of ESI and EPF offices could be easily converted into autonomous state level units under the state governments and better managed with the participation of the elected representatives of employees and employers at the board level. These state level boards could then be federated under the central government.

 

Participation of state governments in banking, insurance and investment industries through appropriate participatory mechanisms could substantially cut down on the investment requirements and also improve the quality of economic management in the country which is now entirely left to the whims and fancies of RBI bureaucrats and their global mentors.

 

 

Why not put the concept of co-operative federalism and deepening of economic relationship between Central and State Governments as well as institutions under them on the fast track, instead of PPP that has proved to be a virtual non-starter or even FDI for the development of physical, social and fiscal infrastructure?

 

This is the need of the hour: building a strong Centre based on the capabilities of the constituent states and not their disabilities, so that Indian people could unitedly stand against neocolonial exploitation in the rapidly globalizing international market.

 

References:

  1. Center-State relations and the Indian left, article by K Vijayachandran, published in the book, Perestroika Glasnost and Socialism, ISBN 978-1-4828-1353-1
  2. United Nations: New relevance of world body: http://www.frontline.in/world-affairs/new-relevance-of-the-world-body/article5338837.ece, article by the author
  3. Problems of national grid: belling of Chinese cat is no solution- by K Vijayachandran, Passline Business Magazine January 2014
  4. World Bank Report: More power to India, the challenge of electricity distribution, Sheoli Pargal and Sudeshna Ghosh Banerjee: April 2014
  5. Indian Railways: in search of a new vision, Perestroika Glasnost and Socialism, by K Vijayachandran, ISBN 978-1-4828-1353-1
  6. Blog: https://kvijaya40.wordpress.com/2014/07/10/coopertive-federalism-india-needs-a-federal-rail-board/
  7. Indian agriculture: search for patriotic alternatives, Perestroika Glasnost and Socialism, by K Vijayachandran, ISBN 978-1-4828-1353-1
  8. Passline Business Magazine, April 2009

Science and Technology in India

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Colloquium on Kerala power sector: recipe for a culture change

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Kerala power sector: recipe for culture change.

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DEVELOPMENT OF INDIAN AGRICULTURE

SEARCH FOR PATRIOTIC ALTERNATIVES

 

This is an essay in four parts, on the development of Indian agriculture. First part is a critical overview of the Vision 2030 document, recently presented by the Indian Council for Agricultural Research. Second part reviews the institutional responsibilities for the management of Indian agriculture, at various levels. The current status of agrarian relations and the emerging trends are briefly discussed in the third part. The fourth part quickly summarizes the search path for anti-imperialist and patriotic solutions. The paper was presented in the Asian agricultural conference held in Delhi, April 2012

  1. Vision 2030 of ICAR

The Vision 2030 document, published in last January by ICAR (Indian Council for Agricultural Research – the apex R&D organization of India and founded in 1929 as Imperial Council for Agriculture Research), had summed up the present agricultural situation in the country, following words:  “Our agriculture is dominated by small farmers, having small landholdings for cultivation. The average size of the landholding declined to 1.32 ha in 2000-01 from 2.30 ha in 1970-71, and absolute number of operational holdings increased from about 70 million to 121 million. If this trend continues, the average size of holding in India would be mere 0.68 ha in 2020, and would be further reduced to a low of 0.32 ha in 2030. This is a very complex and serious problem.”

The document elaborates on the uphill tasks facing the planners: “A large number of smallholders have to move to post- harvest and non-farm activities to augment their income. The research focus should be to evolve technologies and management options to suit needs of smallholders’ agriculture, and also to involve them in agri-supply chain through institutional innovations. ……To add to smallholders’ problem, the quality of production environment is worsening. The problem of land-and-water degradation is becoming a key constraint in augmenting agricultural production. Available estimates reveal that nearly 120.72 million ha of land in the country is degraded due to soil erosion and about 8.4 million ha has soil salinity and water-logging problems. etc etc”.

According to this ICAR estimates, nearly the entire currently cropped area in the country would be degraded by 2030 and the vision document goes on listing the other numerous problems to be tackled by S&T establishment in the country, for salvaging its dying agriculture. However, the document feels that “all these problems can be rectified by better management options….. The research and development challenge is to stop further degradation and go in for rehabilitation of degraded lands and water resources in a cost-effective manner. ”

ICAR has been “co-coordinating, guiding and managing research, education and extension services in agriculture, including horticulture, fisheries and diary production in the country. There is a vast network with 97 ICAR institutes, 46 state agricultural universities, five deemed universities and one Central Agricultural University and 589 Krishi Vijgana Kendras (KVK) spread across the country.” The vision document claims “to have played an enabling role in ushering green revolution and in the subsequent developments in agriculture in India through its research and technology development that enabled the country to increase production of food grains by 4-fold, horticultural crops by 6-fold, fish by 9-fold (marine 5-fold and inland 17-fold), milk by 6-fold, and eggs by 27-fold, since 1950-51; thus making a visible impact on national food and nutritional security.”

It is customary to give credit to ICAR for India’s green revolution, white revolution etc etc and it is also true that agricultural production in the country has been increasing steadily and in step with the population. Percapita production of food grains has been increasing, and India was free from hunger on the average, within a few decades of national independence. However, there are fears that, percapita production has already peaked some ten years ago, and there are concerns about the graph drooping further down. (Usta Patnaik.) And of course, several researchers had expressed serious doubts around the so called green revolution and the contributions made by ICAR and its all India network of institutions.  These issues need detailed study, in the specific context of Indian agriculture continuing its primitive existence, despite tall claims by scientific communities and spokesmen of the establishment.

In fact, only a minuscule of the working people engaged in Indian agriculture (260 million) belong to the organized sector (1.5 million) and they mostly work for the plantations, dominated by the private corporate sector and big farmers. Vast majority of the working people, engaged in agriculture and allied activities, the self employed farmers as well as the agricultural labor, belong to the informal or unorganized sector of the national economy. Agricultural production has increased due to the expansion of cultivated land and increased productivity of land, thanks to expansion of irrigation facilities, use of chemical fertilizers, and switch over to high yielding variety seeds. Public investments in irrigation have played a key role in increasing production: There was an increase of over 30% in gross cropped area, thanks to irrigation even though the net cropped area had increased hardly by 12 % during the past sixty years. Gross irrigated area was only 17.4 % of cropped area in 1951-52 whereas the more recent figure is around 43 %. Assured water supply with the help of canal irrigation and tube-wells powered by highly subsidized grid electricity had facilitated not only application of chemical fertilizers but also adopting HYV crops.

The claims of ICAR over the green revolution were questioned, in the past, by several researchers. The more recent Report on Conditions of Work and Promotion of Livelihoods in the Unorganized Sector (August 2007) by the National Commission for Enterprises in the Unorganized Sector, under the Chairmanship of Arjun K Dasgupta should serve as an eyeopener in this regard. Quoted below are a few selected observations from Chapter-9 of this report, supported by extensive field studies:

  • Nearly 60 percent of the farmer households have not accessed any source of information on modern technology. Among those who had accessed such information, the three main sources were other progressive farmers (16.7 %), input dealers (13.1 %) and radio (13 %).
  • Government agencies such as Krishi Vigyan Kendra, extension workers, farmer visits, or even demonstrations and fairs have come to play a negligible role in disseminating information on modern technology.
  • Both government and other sources were least accessed by the marginal and small farmers: As against 10 percent of the medium and large farmers, only around 4 percent of the sub-marginal and marginal farmers and 8 percent of the small farmers accessed information regarding improved practices and technology from extension workers.
  • Quality and reliability of extension services appeared to be a major concern.
  • Only 30 percent of the farmer households are members members of cooperative societies and of this one third did not make use of their services.
  • At all India level, only 2 per cent of the farmer households were associated with organizations while 5 percent of them had at least one as a member of Self-Help Groups (SHGs). Such memberships are comparatively high in southern states and low in other states, surprisingly including West Bengal

 

The report had pointed out that, “rising cost of cultivation, low remunerations, high risks with frequent crop failures, declining agricultural growth, and mounting debts have all led the farmer to a distress like situation.” It gives a graphic picture about the primitive nature of Indian agriculture and the hapless Indian farmer, “trapped by low literacy, lack of organization and poor connectivity with low levels of awareness regarding technology usage, institutional credit schemes and government’s support initiatives.” About 40 percent of farmer households dislike their occupation and farming, as an occupation, is looked down by the society as a whole. All these, including the rising suicide rates among farmers have, no doubt, everything to with the gross mismanagement of our agricultural sector.

  1. Management of Indian Agriculture

 An overview of the institutional responsibilities in the management of Indian agriculture, summarized as a chart, is given in the next page.  Land being the most fundamental resource for agriculture, land-use planning is a crucial tool in managing agriculture development. This is so in any civilized country, but in India land is looked upon as a commodity, despite the town and country planning act being in existence for several decades. According to the act, village panchayats and town municipalities should have their own planning departments manned by trained personnel, and supervised by land use boards constituted by their respective local self governments. For over-viewing and guiding these activities and for making state level land use plans and production of quality maps, Land Use Boards were constituted by every member state of our union republic.

Many of the State Land Use Boards are headed by junior or disgraced IAS officers and have turned totally dysfunctional with very little role clarity, and stagnating due to lack of working funds and professional manpower. Like the Kerala State Land Use Board, many of these organizations have taken up foreign consultancy assignments. Survey of India, initiated by the British, continues to be an imperial institution under the central government, and has not cared to develop state level counterparts: Its linkages with State Land Use Boards are weak. Due to all these, India is extremely backward in the art and craft of cartography and the country simply does not possess even an essential minimum of inventory of quality maps, an essential input for the management of agriculture. All talks about national cropping plans etc based on the agro climatic resources of the subcontinent, make little practical sense, considering these grass-root level realities.

Situation with regard to water management and irrigation, as well as the weather resources, are similar to that of land use and land use planning. India is noted for its traditional canal irrigation networks, based on dams and reservoir as well as wells, tanks and bunds. Irrigation departments under the state governments are highly bureaucratized, and their linkages with agricultural departments, local administration and farmer collectives are extremely weak. Corrupt regimes at the state level naturally favor the rich peasantry, in the absence of comprehensive plans for individual river basins. Lack of professionalism in water resources planning and management has affected the quality and efficiency of the age old canal irrigation systems, leading to arbitrary increases in water-rates. There has been a massive shift to pumped irrigation, as a result: Cheap electricity, provided by State Electricity Boards, had led to even over-exploitation of ground water resources, all over the country. Central Water Commission, the federal custodian of our water resources has no counterparts at the state level, and as revealed in the recent Mullaperiyar conflict between Tamilnadu and Kerala, it is not even considered a competent body to arbitrate between two state governments.

Climate and weather studies in India are considered the sole prerogative of the Central Government.   Daily, monthly and annual weather studies and forecasts by the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD) are made at regional levels and they have little relevance or use for the farming communities. In the absence of professional support from IMD, the farmers get guided by the local panchanga astrologers, or even water diviners. Our universities and research centers are engaged in climate studies related to global warming, sponsored by UNEP programs and foreign universities. They show little interest in weather and climate studies that are of relevance to local agriculture at the village or district level. Even the possibilities with our own weather satellites are not fully utilized. Rain gauges as well as weirs and notches, installed in the past for measuring surface water flows, have gone dysfunctional in many places, due to administrative neglect or lack of maintenance funds. Recently, IMD has drawn up plans for rectifying these deficiencies by strengthening itself. However, reconstitution and reorganization of IMD into a full-fledged federal body, so as to improve its coverage, quality, and efficacy, is not part of its immediate agenda.

 

MANAGEMENT OF INDIAN AGRICULTURE

Overview of institutional responsibilities

Item Central Government State Governments Local Self Governments Farmer collectives
Land use plans Low Low Nil Nil
Water management Mostly policy making High Nil Nil
Weather forecasting IMD- sole agency Nil Nil Nil
Agricultural research ICAR dominated Low Nil Nil
Warehousing, price support FCI, Central Warehousing Low Nil Nil
Agricultural production Policy making Custodian of production Nil Nil
Human resource development Nil Nil Nil Nil
Development finance Central plan +NABARD State plans Nil Na
Overall Bureaucratic regime. Resource mismatch Resource mismatch No role

 

As indicated in the Vision 230 document, 97 research institutes, 46 state agricultural universities, five deemed universities and one Central Agricultural University and 589 KVKs constitute the national network for agricultural research and extension services, presided over by ICAR. ICAR institutes cater to not only agricultural crops but also, horticulture, fisheries and animal husbandry and related technologies as well as mechanization. Like the Coconut Research Institute in my own village, their linkages with local farms and farming communities are extremely week. There is an agricultural university in each state: They are autonomous bodies under the state government, but depend on ICAR for academic guidance as well as research funds.

 

Scientists working for ICAR, inevitably, develop a split loyalty due to the pulls and pressures of international, research dominated by global finance. In the absence of any coherent patriotic program for agricultural development, they look for global opportunities. Indian agricultural research continues to be weak and hapless, despite the long years of ICAR. It does not have roots in Indian farms and farming communities: We seems to believe that, even agricultural sciences has to be learned and taught only in English and not in Indian languages. We do not have books and literature in agricultural sciences in the languages spoken by our farmers and farm workers. And, that is reason enough to campaign for the restructuring of ICAR network on genuine federal lines and democratize its administration, in order to take it closer to the farming communities and the people at large.

 

Food Corporation of India was setup in 1964, in order to provide farmers with remunerative prices, to make food grains available at reasonable prices, and to maintain buffer stocks as a measure of food security. With its four zonal offices and over 35,000 employees FCI has turned a highly bureaucratic and inefficient set-up. Like all other Central Public Sector Undertakings, FCI has also failed to build up state level counterparts or subsidiaries, with sufficient autonomy to deal with region-specific and crop-specific problems, with the involvement of state governments and local self government institutions. There is another Central Warehousing Corporation (CWC), that have promoted State Warehousing Corporations as joint ventures with the state governments (50:50) with similar or over-lapping functions. CWC with its 17 regional centers and dealing in some 200 commodities look at export as its sole priority, and have no interest in the operations and management of its state-level subsidiaries, which have turned virtual orphans, without any worthwhile policy inputs or financial support from state as well as central governments. For effectively implementing the warehousing and price support strategies the organizational set up already created need to be streamlined and modernized.

 

State governments are looked upon as the custodian of agriculture production, and they are expected to perform, using the inputs provided by Central Government and its numerous agencies, over which they have very little control. Even here, policy making is seen as the sole prerogative of Central Government and its Planning Commission: even the National Development Council (NDC) is hardly consulted on policy questions on agriculture. Agricultural Prices Commission finds even questions related to terms of trade difficult to handle, due to numerous regulatory complexities and diverse tax regimes. Liberalization of trade and bilateral trade agreements has brought in further complications in policy management at the state level.

Despite constitutional provisions for decentralized administration, several related sectors like social forestry, minor irrigation, local transport, small and village industries etc continue to be outside the purview of local governance. As already pointed out, Indian farmers are poorly organized as a collective and play virtually no role, or play an extremely weak role in policy making, related to land use, water resources management and irrigation, crop development, mechanization, or even  formulating development plans. Even states like West Bengal and  Kerala where land reforms and democratic decentralization of administration has registered substantive progress, farmers and their collectives play little role in the management of agriculture. A recent (January 2009) report by the West Bengal State Commission on Agriculture had lamented on the lack of participation by farmers and their collectives in the formulation and implementation of farm development programs in that state. If that is the situation in a state like West Bengal, the over all situations in the country must be far far worse.

  1. Managing uneven development
  2. Developments in agrarian relations in the country have been extremely uneven. Peasants’ struggle for land has succeeded in some measure during the six decades of national independence. Land reforms were attempted in almost all Indian states, and under influence of the left, the reforms were seriously pursued in Kerala, West Bengal and Tripura, where the democratic movement got considerably strengthened. Kerala has experienced a big shift from food crops to cash crops, typical of capitalist agriculture. Farm incomes per unit area cultivated as well as per person engaged in agriculture are nearly three times the national average, in Kerala. There are two agricultural workers per cultivator in Kerala if we go by the census counts, and the ratio is just the reverse for the country as a whole. Agriculture workers as well as the entire informal sector workers in Kerala command much higher wages and better working conditions compared to their counter parts elsewhere in the countries.
  3. The shift from sustenance agriculture based on food crops to capitalist agriculture based on cash crops is taking place all over the country, slowly but steadily, and the intervention programs designed by the Delhi bureaucracy with minimal or ineffective consultations at the lower levels, including the farmers’ collectives, have proved, by and large, ineffective. There is a crisis situation emerging, and the Central Government and its policy makers are using the opportunity to plan a total surrender of the agricultural sector to global capital. Technology developments like genetically modified crops and micro climate controlled agriculture and others are opening up totally new horizons in agriculture. And the emerging trends are uneven, unbalanced and unsustainable in the long run. They need to be carefully analyzed and clearly understood if we are to decide on a strategy for countering these new imperialist offensives.

VK Ramakrishnan, the noted agricultural economist reviewed the current status of Indian agriculture in an article published in the last issue of Marxist (Jan-June 2011): This article, based on an extensive study of several Indian villages had observed: “India is a vast and living example of the rule that capitalism penetrates agriculture and rural society in a myriad ways. If the development of capitalist relations in agriculture is clearly the major trend, it is equally clear that agrarian relations are marked by national, regional and local diversity, and by extreme unevenness in the development of capitalist relations of production and exchange……

Variations in agrarian relations are not just a matter of differences in the level of development of the productive forces  leading  to  some  regions  being  more  or  less  ‘capitalist’  than others; the crucial feature of capitalist development in agriculture is, as Lenin wrote, that ‘infinitely diverse combinations of this or that type of capitalist evolution are possible.’ If this formulation was true of old Russia (or old China), it is true too of India, where the material forces constituted by backward ideologies of hierarchy and status add immensely to the ‘peculiar and complex problems’ arising from spatial diversity……

Data from nine villages in the States mentioned above showed that 21 per cent of households (mainly poor peasants) actually had negative crop incomes. By contrast, the average agricultural income of households in the top docile was over 3.2 lakhs per household. Not only do the data show that aggregate incomes from agriculture are highly unequal across cultivator households, they also show that there are large variations in the costs of cultivation and profitability across crops, and, for a given crop, across regions. Variations in the profitability of crops across different classes are substantial….

…..Data shows differences in gross output and net annual incomes from agriculture per acre of operational holding across villages and between cultivators operating smallest twenty and largest twenty land holdings. The data show that, given the concentration  of land and other means of production in their hands, landlords and rich peasants are able to keep  production  costs  lower than  middle  and  poor  peasants. In contrast, the poor peasants are forced to buy inputs at a higher unit price than the rich, and to pay rents for land and machinery. With more efficient input use, and better access to markets, landlords, big capitalist farmers and rich peasants also receive a higher income per unit of production than middle and poor peasants.”

True, India is a subcontinent of diverse cultures and subcultures, supported by vastly different agro-climatic conditions. Politically, we are a conglomeration of numerous developing nationalities and call ourselves a multinational country. The process of nationality development in the sub-continent was frozen by the British in their imperial interests, and the ruling classes, that inherited political power from the colonial rulers, were in no mood to complete the unfinished tasks of national liberation. Even the re-organization of Indian states on linguistic or cultural lines, a legitimate dream of Indian independence movement, was resisted by them. Indian big bourgeoisie and our ruling elites sustain their hegemony over the Indian people with the help of neocolonialists, and by blocking and suppressing their struggles for cultural and material development.

Our elite classes have even invented jargons like Unity in Diversity, for seeking moral justifications for the oppressive development policies, pursued by the Indian State. Culture is not generated in a vacuum: It springs from the material life of people. It is sustained by science and technology, and culture is the product of autonomous development of a society, with its own personality, history and geography. The abstract universal man is pure invention by the intellectual classes and doe not exist for the vast majority of the working people of our century. We have seen, in the earlier sections, the bogus character and hollow claims of the inefficient agricultural development programs followed by the Indian state, with little or no involvement of our farmers and their collectives, as well as the people at large. Vision 2030 of ICAR is a sure recipe for the further alienation of our working people from the Indian State, that rules over them. It will end up as an even bigger failure than the earlier development program, which has virtually pushed Indian agriculture into the present chaotic situation. And it could be salvaged only through the prolonged political struggles of the working people, and vast majority of them belong to agriculture.

  1. In conclusion:

Indian agriculture continues to be primitive in terms of technology and organization, even after six decades of intervention by the Indian state under the leadership ICAR. However, it has already entered the capitalist phase of development which is uneven, unstable and unsustainable.  Vision 2030 document prepared by ICAR is incompetent to address the emerging crisis. Central Government and the elite classes that rule the country are getting ready to hand over the agriculture sector to foreign monopoly capital under the pretext of solving an impending crisis.

The big capitalist farmers and rich peasants are sure to join hands with the foreign monopolists in this process of takeover, as part of the ongoing globalization process. This will be at the cost of the rest of the farming community, consisting of small and marginal farmers, agricultural workers and other sections of our rural proletarians.

This process is sure to be prolonged and protracted. The big capital is equipped with modern farming technologies and agricultural research organized by imperialist states. A well planned strategy and effective intervention by the Indian state are absolutely necessary for protecting the interest of the farming communities and the country at large. ICAR and other central government organizations need to be strengthened by developing their state level counterparts and then transforming them into genuine federal institutions, capable of defending national interests.

Rural proletarians of India’s informal sector, including the agricultural workers need to be unionized for fighting for their basic human rights, such as minimum wages, reasonable working conditions, and social security. The report on unorganized sector by Arjun Sengupta committee on the unorganized sector of the national economy has highlighted the need as well as the possibilities for regulating the labor market in the informal sector.

In fact, Arjun Sengupta report is the byproduct and legacy of decades long struggles waged by the informal sector workers, in several parts of the country, under the leadership of working class parties which has by now acquired adequate strength and expertise to formulate and campaign for an alternative agriculture development program that is truly patriotic and anti-imperialist.

Eod

APARTMENTS IN KERALA

APARTMENTS IN KERALA:

NEW CULTURE WITH AN ECONOMIC RATIONALE

K Vijayachandran FIE

 

A dwelling without compound around was unthinkable for a Malayalee. It could be even plot as small as a cent and half: What is important was the smell of raw earth around. This life style is costing our society dear: Unplanned growth of our population centres substantially increases the cost of basic infrastructure and civic amenities. Road density in Kerala is 414 km/100 sqkm and it is far ahead of the national average of 75 km. Road length per lakh population in Kerala is 506 km against the national average of 259 km.

Kerala with a population density of more than double the national average has already set aside large land areas for road construction. Economy of the state finds it difficult to maintain these vast quantities of roads constructed year after year. Higher road length per person is also an indicator of the higher outlays subsumed for power and fuel supplies, water supply, sewerage and drainage as well as other utilities. Urbanisation is inevitable, and it was high time that, some sort of discipline was brought into the anarchic situation.

The apartment culture that is slowly setting in Kerala has, therefore, a definite social and economic rationale and the mushrooming real estate and property development business, undoubtedly, are creating real values. I may quote here the personal example of a close friend and comrade-in-arm Kunju Krishnan: we may refer him as KK for convenience. He was a poor man by any standard and working as a helper in a mechanical workshop near his ancestral home, frequently used as shelter by senior leaders of left movement, during the dark years of head-hunt by a blood-thirsty police.

KK along with his wife and three children was holed up in a small tiled hut, along with his aged ailing mother, when I came across him in the early eighties. He was a known leader in the locality, sincere to the core, and as usual rewarded less and respected more for his stubborn honesty. On dividing the family assets, bulk of his ancestral property went to his sisters, married and properly settled elsewhere: Title of the 40 cents of land and the house, where KK lived was held by his ailing mother who was under pressure to divide it once again as family property. He, however, was lucky on the legal front, after the mother died and within no time property developers closed in on him.

For the prices prevailing during late eighties, he got a good bargain: With the cash compensation received for the land, KK could purchase an acre of agricultural land in nearby village where he built a small farm-house, the two daughters were comfortably married off, and son got educated to work as an accountant in a respectable firm. In addition he was allotted three apartments: As on now, he lives in one and the others are rented out. KK was overnight catapulted into an altogether different social orbit.

More interesting part of this story of large value addition was the bankruptcy of KK’s builder, even before the apartments were completed and handed over. The hard liquidity problem of the early nineties, that brought to a complete halt the booming property business, had forced the builder to flee the country. Fortunately for KK, there was enough number of apartment aspirants who had fully paid up for the apartments and ready to go for legal remedies. KK as a man of public interest assembled the necessary expertise, legal, financial as well as technical, to form a cooperative enterprise for raising the balance money and completing the building project.

True, he could move into the new flat only four years behind the schedule: However, as per the contract entitlements with the builder, KK continued to stay in his good old place, from where he managed to marry off his two daughters. Despite all odds, he conducted the house warming ceremonies in grand style in the new flat in 1995. Possibly KK’s example was more of an exemption: several among the martyrs of the building industry of nineties are yet to recover and a good many among those who invested for apartments continue to wait indefinitely. Moral of the story is obvious: KK and others helped themselves using their collective endeavor.

Belonging to the collective of some eighty and odd apartment dwellers bring in several advantages and privileges. Managing electricity, phone, gas, water, drainage, sewerage and waste disposal collectively is of great advantage. Most apartment collectives have developed their own arrangements for paying up the utility bills and some are offering even internet connections. Convenience shops, common washing and ironing centres are developing as common amenities. A well-kept small garden and children’s playground are real luxuries even for the middle class. Instant geriatric care of the old, first aid and emergency medical help are within the reach of the collectives of apartment dwellers. Cultural evenings and festival celebrations are bringing people together in many apartments that simply strengthen our age old secular traditions.  Common garages, car parking and 24 hour security at the gate are the new civic amenities that are now taken for granted by every apartment dweller: However these were simply the privileges of the elite classes till yesterday!

The new culture that is developing around our apartments are sure to stay: it is not a passing fad, simply because of the enormous advantages offered by it at very low costs. However, these are sure to face several serious problems, thanks to their unplanned growth. Servicing the apartments with utilities and infrastructure are likely to be a serious problem, which need to be pre-empted with the help of careful planning at intracity as well as intercity levels. Mushrooming of the apartments in almost all cities and major towns is sure to discipline us.

We will be forced to redesign our population centers in a far more rational way, sooner than later, consistent with the unique features of our land and waters. Kerala, as we know, is a narrow strip of land with a 560 Kilometer coastline on the West, and mountain reliefs on the East. Every 14 kilometer on the average, there is a river system flowing Westward, and forty-one drainage basins rush their heavy monsoon run-off, into a huge inland water body, stretching along the coastline and shaking hands with the Arabian sea, at half a dozen locations called pozhi.

Thanks to this unique hydrology, more than half of Kerala population live on its coastal planes, measuring only a third of total land area. This coastal plane, on the two sides of the backwaters network, with its lakes, canals and estuaries, numerous seaports of antiquity and large population centers, is developing into a single modern metro of some twenty million people; population densities crossing the level of 3000 persons per sqkm, for several long stretches. The North-South inland waterway along this backwater system, and the several kilometers of navigable stretches upstream of the forty-one rivers, were developed by several generations of Kerala rulers, before and after the great Cheraman Perumal took to Islam.

This 1700 Kilometer long inland waterway network was the backbone of Kerala economy and served the culture and commerce of the region for centuries, turning Parasurama legend into a living reality. Due to a variety of factors beyond our control, neglect and ignorance in the main, these arteries of history had turned totally dysfunctional, within a few decades of national independence, inflicting heavy damages on our economy and culture.

These are the unique features of Kerala and historical facts that had encouraged our President to recommend us to develop some sort of mysterious smart waterways. Even water supply and drainage systems as well as power and fuel lines could be built around such smart waterways and transportation network along the backwater system.

Reconstruction of Kerala economy and culture along its ancient waterways, with the help of modern Science and Technology, should be the twenty-first century dream project of Malayalees: Why not re-design our population centers by developing a master plan for the building of apartments for the 560 KM long metro that is emerging along Kerala coast? Perhaps, even our builders’ community could be asked to step in!

EOD

11.11.2007-Passline

SOCIALIST GLOBALIZATION AND UNITED NATIONS

Socialist Globalization and United Nations
Er. K Vijayachandran FIE
Chairman Cochin Center for Policy Initiatives

 

This short paper, published on UN Day 2017, is the third part of my series on United Nations: First one was published in the Frontline magazine, four years ago: and the second with its focus on the failure of WTO was presented in the UN Day seminar of 2015 held in the Public Library of my home town, Kochi. UN is a new historical experience: Mankind possesses, today, adequate S&T and organizational resources to support a global political economy under UN umbrella.

 

Two decades ago, this author had observed in a seminar in Thiruvananthapuram: “Developments in computing, communication and satellite technologies have revolutionized the processing and transmission of information. These have given birth to Information Technology or IT. Electronic chip has, thus, ushered in a second industrial revolution; the first one triggered by steam engine had led to the extensive use of energy in processing and transportation of materials. The two revolutions, one after the other within a span of two centuries, are re-shaping the destiny of Man: He is preparing for a leap forward vis-a-vis his relationship with the universe he has come to occupy.” (1)

Knowledge and expertise to produce commodities or Science and Technology (S&T), as referred to in this article, was only emerging as a tradable entity or property, when Marx wrote his Das Capital in 1867, even though separation of intellectual powers from manual labor was very nearly complete in the earlier century. Nevertheless, the last Chapter XV of part IV of the book deals with the development and transformation of society, as it puts to use machines for commodity production.

Das Capital had examined in great detail the social origins of technology, how it was appropriated by capitalists as their private property, how bulk of the surplus value generated in the process was appropriated by the owners of capital, how it was used for lengthening the work-hours of proletarian classes instead of lightening the burden of their life, and how they got pauperized materially, culturally and spiritually in a rapidly advancing industrial society.

How Science and Technology (S&T) helped to consolidate the hegemony of capital over labor and society at large was explained in this chapter, through its ten sections and 133 pages (P-371 to 504 of the Soviet Edition, English-1959). As trading and export of capital and S&T gathered momentum, political map of the globe was redrawn under the dictates of global finance capital.

Social character and social role of S&T were explored and endorsed by hardcore scientists as well, including the famous physicist of last century, Albert Einstein in his celebrated essay Why Socialism? of 1949: Technology is to be seen as the product and manifestation of the innate desire of individual Man to belong to larger and larger Collectives and helping him to transcend the limitations of space and time. Communities expanded their boarders and cultural horizons, and merged together to form larger and larger nation-states using S&T. And, S&T liberated Man from crass capitalist existentialism and entitled him for a rich cultural life that spans three dimensions in time; the present, the past and the future. (2)

Einstein was greatly appreciative of the efficacy of S&T organizations of USSR, the first ever socialist state: Only Russia had an academy of sciences at the time of liberation from Czar: And then, the revolution encouraged every constituent identity, nationality, or republic of Soviet Union, big and small, to establish its own autonomous academy of sciences: These were then federated into the Soviet Academy of Sciences.

In a special commemorative volume to mark the golden jubilee of USSR, Vice President of the Soviet Academy of Sciences had observed, by way of introduction: “Within the life time of a single generation, the people of some republics underwent a transition from a feudal society based on archaic agricultural systems to a socialist economy with a highly developed industry and mechanized agriculture. Peoples that did not even have a written language before the October revolution now can boast of their own trained specialists. The children and grand children of peasants and nomads are designing and operating computers and other sophisticated equipment.”

The above introductory overview was then followed by detailed accounts of the concrete achievements of academies of individual republics; Byelorussia, Georgia, Ukraine, Moldavia, Latvia, Azerbaijan and others including the tiny Estonia by their respective academy presidents. (3)

This sort of federal or cooperative dispensation of republican academies of sciences continues to exist even today under the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS), despite the dissolution of USSR: recent reports indicate that the glory of Soviet S&T is getting rapidly restored by the CIS collective: Einstein’s enthusiasm over the success of Soviet model organization of S&T is thus fully justified in the context of current realities.

S&T was the sole prerogative of the aristocracy during Tsarist days: Soon after the socialist revolution, special universities were opened for educating the proletarians and, associations of innovators and inventors were established in every production enterprise, cutting across class lines under the initiative of employees associations and local trade unions.

These models were later copied by the production enterprises in capitalist countries: Quality Circles (QC) of Japan as well as the Total Quality Movement (TQM) of Deming Institute of USA were inspired by these shop-floor experiences of socialist enterprises in  Soviet Union. And later, after the Second World War grass-root level democracy or participative management systems as practiced in Soviet Union and East European countries had inspired a culture of industrial democracy in post-war Western Europe.

Achievements on the S&T front as well as the innovative management methods developed by the socialist enterprises had not only led to an all-round improvement in social productivity and quality of life, but also helped the practice of universal social security for the first time in human history.

Soviet Union and other Socialist countries had proved the feasibility and sustainability of socialist political economies in individual countries, and demonstrated their superiority over the crisis ridden political economies under the hegemony of finance capital. The massive vilification campaigns against the S&T institutions in the socialist countries and their organizing principles had nothing to do with truth and the ground realities that existed in former socialist countries.

As a matter of fact, these experiences were a source of inspiration not only for the newly liberated countries after the second world war like India and China, but even for the developed capitalist countries: National Science Fund (NSF) and related S&T policies of USA were fashioned after the S&T practices of USSR by Dr. Bush, the wartime S&T advisor of President Roosevelt. They were kept in cold storage for a couple of years, due to ideological and political differences within the US bureaucracy, until Sputnik made history in 1957 and sent shock-waves in US administration.

NSF continues to be the corner stone of S&T administration and management in USA, even today. Japan as well as all the other OECD countries had taken to massive public investments and state intervention in their S&T sectors as a matter of national policies, and it is generally accepted that market competition hardly produces any basic technologies: Even today, Bill Gates and his IT empire are products of monopoly capitalism, and not market competition as made out by market-ideologists (4). Prof Galbraith had formulated, long ago, his famous theory of convergence of capitalist and socialist systems of economic management on the strength of these facts.

But for the short periods of policy disruptions, triggered by the Cultural Revolution, China had stuck to the S&T policies developed as an integral part of its national liberation movement and guided by the principles of socialist development in the Soviet Union. Chinese Academy of Sciences (CAS), today, is ‘the linchpin of China’s drive to explore and harness high technology and the natural sciences for the benefit of China and the world’.

CAS has a comprehensive research and development network in the public domain, spread over a million establishments, including a merit-based system of higher education: It brings together scientists and engineers from the whole of China and around the world to address both theoretical and applied problems using world-class scientific and management approaches. The massive Chinese S&T of today is broad-based and has roots in all provinces and serves the regional and national economies right across the country. (5)

Marxist-Leninist understanding that, capitalism would be a failure in building up a global technological society, stands validated by historical experience: Numerous colonial wars and two world wars, inflicted on mankind in quick succession, as well as the extremely poor performance of the recently initiated WTO under IMF-IBRD regulation and operating independent of UN framework, are pointers to its abject failure in building up a sustainable political economy at the global level. (6)

Massive unemployment, deepening global recession, widespread failure and even collapse of nation states, violence, terrorism, dirty wars, sixty million refugees reminiscent of the Second World War and, gathering storms of yet another global war, are the balance sheet of two decades of global regulation exercised by WTO: Every leading capitalist country is in crisis: Era of unipolar world under the US hegemony has ended; EU and NATO are on a path of self-liquidation. Capitalism is failing to catch up with technological innovations for the first time in history and regulators find it impossible to catch up with the galloping corruption, and it is the end of capitalist globalization as we know it. (7)

The hypothesis that S&T is an exclusive product of market competition has been challenged and demolished long ago, not only by Marxists-Leninists but even by great scientists and technologists of our times. Nevertheless, the Perestroika-Glasnost movement triggered by the Russian intelligentsia under the leadership of Gorbachev & Co, supported by imperialists and global finance capital, and endorsed by the class of so-called knowledge workers across the continents, was based on this specious argument. (8)

True, Soviet Union, the first-ever socialist state was dissolved and the socialist camp disintegrated: But, that was not the end of history as shouted from house-tops by the reactionaries, all over the world: S&T infrastructures as well as the democratic institutions built under Soviet Socialism have by and large survived under the CIS dispensation.

China is rapidly developing its S&T capabilities. Situation is not very different with regard to the other members of the former CMEA, and OECD countries continue to be rich in S&T resources and S&T is moving forward with its own momentum, quite unmindful of market forces. As Professor Galbraith had pointed out in his famous book, The Affluent Society, mankind today has enough technological resources to sustain a humanity several times its present size. As the world socialist movement observes the centenary of Soviet revolution, the dreams of building a brave new world, based on a better and fuller use of these resources in full have returned, once again.

The Belt and Road Initiative (BRI) using modern S&T tools under the auspicious of BRICS is seen as a small beginning in that direction. This new type of international cooperation, under Chinese initiative, is already challenging the mind-set of technological pessimism (9) across the globe, an inevitable byproduct of capitalist development. Several countries on the BRI route have joined this multilateral development projects which are expected to grow and expand further into a major development initiative under the UN System.

United Nations is a post-Marxian development and a totally new historical experience: But mankind has plenty of experience in promoting the concept of peaceful coexistence and mutual cooperation among nation-states, big and small. Einstein’s appeal of October 1947 to the UN General Assembly to democratize itself and play its destined role of Global Governance, and to ‘guarantee the security, tranquility and the welfare of all mankind’, is immensely relevant today. Despite the non-cooperation of USA and other developed countries that were keen to use the UN system for policing over the developing nations, institutions like UNIDO, UNDP, and others were set up under the initiatives of Non Aligned Movement (NAM) with the support of the then socialist block.

Che Guevara, in his speech of March 25, 1964, at the plenary session of United Nations Conference on Trade and Development (UNCTAD ) had said, ‘this conference must establish in plain terms the agreement emanating from the conference to refrain from restricting trade in any manner, direct or indirect’: However, as pointed out by J. Backman in his paper, “Socialist Globalization against Capitalist Neocolonialism: The Economic Ideas behind the New International”, attempts by UNCTAD to create economic globalization faced by ‘continual US resistance, especially through the GATT, the World Bank, the IMF, and the US Government itself (Humanity- Spring 2015). And, as we know Cuba of Che Guevara was subjected to the worst kind of trade barriers by the USA, and WTO had hijacked the role assigned to UNCTAD which has turned a dead instrument within a short span of time.

And, all these add to the relevance of Chinese initiatives towards ‘UN playing a central role in global governance’: Such initiatives by China, the largest nation-state of our times, destined to be the largest national economy in the very near future, on the strength of its own technological prowess, following its own shade of socialism for the past seven decades (10), and presiding over BRICS and promoting novel international development paradigms with the support and involvement Russia, make immense sense towards the prospects of global governance as well as socialist globalization.

Samir Amin had recently (2014) attempted a fairly elaborate global assessment of “Popular Movements towards Socialism: Their Unity and Diversity” (11). He looked at the possible exit roots from globalization controlled by finance capital and rules out the possibility of a negotiated exit using UN framework. Next, the possibility of some member countries challenging the system is examined: In his view, China has this capability and potential but he is not sure about the prospects of State Capitalism of China transforming itself into State Socialism. With regard to Russia he is skeptical about the intentions of the present power-holders, despite their posing as serious challengers to Washington.

As he concludes this long essay, Amin speculates on the ‘strategies of international political (or even military) alliance that might force a withdrawal of the US project of military control, over the whole planet and then concludes: “It is not by chance that the BRICS, and behind them many counties of the South-some having entered the path of sovereign projects to various degrees and others still mired in the ruts of lumpen development – refusing to support US military adventures and dare to take initiatives contradicting Washington, like the use of Veto by Russia and China. It is necessary to go further in these directions, in a broader and more systematic approach.”

There are even more forceful compulsions for change that are technological: The rapidly increasing size and complexity of contemporary S&T as in the case of IT and space technologies, demands a global political economy that is qualitatively different from that of today. Many among the members of UNO continue to be grossly underdeveloped and some even primitive: However, the basic instincts that drive humanity towards larger and larger collectives cannot and will not stop with the formation of some two hundred largely autonomous nation states,

Humanity is on cross roads and in search of its own destiny: Its cultural and spiritual pursuits will continue, and a UNO with a far more efficient and harmonious political economy is likely to be its next halt, as divined by Albert Einstein seven decades ago!
EOD/24th October 2017

References:

1. Information Technology and the Second Industrial Revolution: Synopsis of my talk on August 24th 1998 at the Rotary club Thiruvananthapuram-https://kvijaya40.wordpress.com/2017/10/24/information-technology-and-the-second-industrial-revolution-2/
2. United Nations-New relevance for the world body: My article in Frontline Nov 13 2013: http://www.frontline.in/world-affairs/newrelevance-of-the-word-body/article5338837.exe
3. See my book Perestroika Glasnost and Socialism Partridge 2014, P 96-99: can be downloaded from the Research Gate (RG) web site.
4. A B Nikolaev, R&D and Social Reproduction, Progress Publishers, Moscow, 1975
5. Chinese Academy of Sciences: http://english.cas.cn/
6. Paper on WTO by myself: https://kvijaya40.wordpress.com/2015/10/24/two-decades-of-wto-the-failure-to-deliver/
7. See the article: https://leftfootforward.org/2017/10/six-ways-the-uks-regulatory-system-is-a-protection-racket-for-the-elite/https://leftfootforward.org/2017/10/six-ways-the-uks-regulatory-system-is-a-protection-racket-for-the-elite/
8. My book, Perestroika Glasnost and Socialism, is a pioneering project on the subject, pages 3-45
9. Technological pessimism is the belief that advances in S&T do not lead to any improvement in human condition. Some social critics and environmentalists believe that economic practices of modern states over-stress planet’s ecological equilibrium.
10. China had claimed from the days of Mao that it was building Socialism with Chinese characteristics implying thereby that every country is free to follow its own brand of socialism based its historical or cultural experience. That was in perfect harmony with Vietnamese vision on socialism as well. Khrushchev had declared at that time that USSR was already building communism after successfully completing the socialist phase!
11. Monthly Review-Article by Samir Amin: http://monthlyreview.org/2014/06/01/popular-movements-toword-socilism/#top

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